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California air regulators are expected to ban the sale of new gas cars by 2035


(CNN)California air regulators are expected Thursday to issue stringent rules to ban the sale of new gasoline cars by 2035 and set interim targets to phase the cars out.

The California Air Resources Board will vote on the measure Thursday afternoon, board member Daniel Sperling told CNN.

Sperling added he was "99.9%" confident the measure would pass. If it does, it would be one of the first such bans worldwide. It also could have major implications for the US car market, given how large California's economy is.

"This is monumental," Sperling said. "This is the most important thing that CARB has done in the last 30 years. It's important not just for California, but it's important for the country and the world."

The board's new rules also would set interim quotas for zero-emission vehicles, focusing on new models. Starting with 2026 models, 35% of new cars, SUVs and small pickups sold in California would be required to be zero-emission vehicles. That quota would increase each year, expected to reach 51% of all new car sales in 2028, 68% in 2030 and 100% in 2035. The quotas also would allow 20% of zero-emission cars sold to be plug-in hybrids.

The rules would not impact used vehicles and allow those vehicles to stay on the roads.

Sperling said the process of drafting the rules had received "surprisingly little debate" and push back from car companies, a signal that companies themselves are embracing the move to zero-emission vehicles. Several companies including Ford and GM have already announced ambitious plans to move toward zero-emission cars, trucks and SUVs.

"The car companies see what's happening in China, in Europe," Sperling said. "Many of them have already made announcements about how they're converting totally to electric vehicles."

Other blue states have followed California's lead on tighter vehicle emissions in the past; Sperling and other officials are watching to see if Northeast and Pacific Northwest states in particular follow suit with the latest move.

"This is a big part of the US market," Sperling said. "Even if the feds don't move on a regulatory perspective, a big chunk of the country will be moving forward."
Thursday's vote is the culmination of years of work; in 2020, California Gov. Gavin Newsom signed an executive order mandating that all vehicles sold in the state must be zero emission by 2035.

California also got a boost from the Biden administration, which reinstated California's longtime ability to set its own vehicle emission standards earlier this year. The Trump administration had rolled back the California waiver in 2019.
 

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Even 35% in 2026 and def 51% in 2028 seem a bit too aggressive. CA is going to wreck its economy and likely have additional grid issues as those projects to improve limp along due to its excessive regulatory structure.
 

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Even 35% in 2026 and def 51% in 2028 seem a bit too aggressive. CA is going to wreck its economy and likely have additional grid issues as those projects to improve limp along due to its excessive regulatory structure.
What else is new. That is why so many people are leaving that state.
 

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Even 35% in 2026 and def 51% in 2028 seem a bit too aggressive. CA is going to wreck its economy and likely have additional grid issues as those projects to improve limp along due to its excessive regulatory structure.
The main hurdle in my region is charging availability. Example, if I drive up I-81 to visit friends or family in Northern VA or DC, for the first 350 miles of my trip, there are 5-ish Electricify America charging stations, with 4-6 chargers a piece, half of which are 350 and at any given time, there's WAY more than 30 cars on that stretch of I-81. There's about 8 supercharger stations as well but inaccessible atm. Unless charging infrastructure expands at the same rate that EV sales do, there will be a bottleneck. There's also the extra strain on the grid when millions of cars suddenly need electricity instead of gasoline. I'm all for the EV revolution, but lofty EV sales goals without matching charging growth will ruin the experience.
 

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Yep, dealers close to the Cali border in neighboring states will get an influx of customers.
They’re not banning the sale of used cars, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they require ICE vehicles to be a minimum age (e.g., registered out of state for at least 90 days) before they can be considered used. Seems like the kind of thing CA would think about…
 
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